Smart Chart Investor

Beyond Buy and Hold: Using Technical Analysis to Reduce the Risk of Long-term Investing

  • Member Login

Election coming; Fasten your seatbelts

November 6, 2016 by Don Roth

It’s about to get bumpy.

The ETF that mirrors the S&P500, SPY, has broken the 2016 trend line; support shown as upward sloping blue line on chart (below). Granted, it’s a pretty steep trend line, however, the fact that price violated this price zone is bearish.

S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY) daily

spy-2016_11_4-d
(click chart to enlarge)

In addition, price is fast approaching primary support; the upward sloping white trend line from the bottom in 2009 (above and below charts). This rising support zone was broken earlier in the year and recovered nicely making a new all time high this past summer.

S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY) weekly

spy-2016_11_4-w
(click chart to enlarge)

SPY has been selling off recently most likely due to the uncertainty of the election outcome. I would expect price to be all over the map next week.

Continue to hold open positions.

I have quite a few nice trade set ups but risk is just too high until the election dust settles.

A subscriber from Australia asked me if the $AU will tank if Trump is elected. I called Donald and asked him. He said if he gets elected the $AU will be the best and biggest dollar of all time in the southern hemisphere.

Another subscriber from the UK asked if the British Pound will rally with a Hillary win. I called Hillary. She said she would get back to me either by email or WikiLeaks.

Next week should be interesting.

Trade Smart,

Don Roth

RECENT MARKET UPDATES

  • Blow Off Top?
  • Major Announcement!
  • Trade Alert (BE)
  • Important Notice
  • Weekly Market Commentary and Pre Announcement
Go to Members Home

Don Roth

Don Roth, Smart Chart Investor

Recent Market Updates

  • Blow Off Top?
  • Major Announcement!
  • Trade Alert (BE)
  • Important Notice
  • Weekly Market Commentary and Pre Announcement

Copyright © 2011–2026 · Smart Chart Trading, Inc · Privacy Policy · Terms of Use · Disclosure Information · Log in