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Beyond Buy and Hold: Using Technical Analysis to Reduce the Risk of Long-term Investing

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New All Time Highs [trade alert]

November 22, 2016 by Don Roth

The S&P500 Index, Dow, Nasdaq and Russell 2000 have just made all time highs.

Regardless of your political slant it’s pretty obvious the big money is flowing into equities. Giddy up.

A quick review of open recommendations. We’re up on every one of our open trade recommendations; from 4% all the way to 84% profit.

Let’s take a deeper look:

S&P 500 Index (SPY) daily

spy-2016_11_22-d
(click chart to enlarge)

​​​​​​​
Our trade recommendation is currently up 84%.

Continue to hold.

If you wish to add to this position risk is still under primary support as it has been since 2011.

Powershares Tech ETF (QQQ) weekly

qqq-2016_11_22-w
(click chart to enlarge)

Our trade recommendation is currently up 73%.

Continue to hold. Risk is still under primary support.

SPDRs Select Sector Technology ETF (XLK) weekly

xlk-2016_11_22-w
(click chart to enlarge)

Our trade recommendation is currently up 55%.

Continue to hold. Risk is still under primary support.

UK Index Fund ETF (EWU) weekly

ewu-2016_11_22-w
(click chart to enlarge)

Our short sell trade recommendation is currently up 23%.

Continue to hold. Risk is still above resistance.

SPDRs Select Sector Energy ETF (XLE) daily

xle-2016_11_22-d
(click chart to enlarge)

Our trade recommendation is currently up 6%.

Continue to hold. Price finally broke through resistance, the orange horizontal line. Next target is $80.

Dow Telecommunications Index Fund ETF (IYZ) daily

iyz-2016_11_22-d
(click chart to enlarge)

Our trade recommendation is currently up 4%.

Continue to hold. Price is moving higher after bouncing off support.

This is the portfolio of open recommendations. I am very transparent about every real time recommendation I have made since going live in August 2011. How could one judge another’s performance without knowing every trade/investment recommendation made?

All closed and open positions are on the web site. Whatever your sources are for making a trade or investment know the following:

  1. What is the track record?
  2. Why make the trade?
  3. Your risk and why?
  4. When to sell?

Trade Alert…

Post Holdings (POST) weekly

post-2016_11_22-w
(click chart to enlarge)

I highlighted this recently and since then price has bounced off support.

I am adding this to our buy list. Risk is below trend line support.

In other news…

Bonds are getting crushed.

20 Year Treasury Bond Fund (TLT) weekly

tlt-2016_11_22-w
(click chart to enlarge)

Don’t ask me why because it just doesn’t matter. I will just tell you it is because they are getting sold hand over fist. Price is approaching support and possibly presenting a nice opportunity.

Equity indexes are making all time highs, bonds are selling off so rates are rising, my golf game isn’t too bad, I get to spend the weekend with family, I love the XLE trade…NICE.

I must go now. Marianne just took some chocolate chip cookies out of the oven and I must eat some.

Feel free to ask me any questions regarding investing and I will be happy to tell you what I think, what I know and what I don’t know. I will tell you this…I know far less than what I don’t know.

Have the Happiest Thanksgiving Holiday you have ever had. Make it a good one.

Aloha,

Don

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Don Roth

Don Roth, Smart Chart Investor

Recent Market Updates

  • Blow Off Top?
  • Major Announcement!
  • Trade Alert (BE)
  • Important Notice
  • Weekly Market Commentary and Pre Announcement

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