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Beyond Buy and Hold: Using Technical Analysis to Reduce the Risk of Long-term Investing

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Sell Everything?

September 11, 2016 by Don Roth

Dow was down 390 on Friday marking the first trading session since late June to move more than 1%. We have been in such a tight trading range for the past 2 1/2 months that something needed to give. It just happened to give down. That's OK as we have been hedged a bit with short positions. S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY) daily ​​​​​​​ You can see from the daily SPY chart that price closed under support, the red horizontal line that represents the closing high from May 2015. Looking at the … [Read more...]

Passive vs Active Investing

September 5, 2016 by Don Roth

The debate continues to gain momentum. I am going to Stocktoberfest in October at The Coronado Hotel. It'a a gathering of disruptors in the erupting fin/tech space. Lots going on in the delivery and scope of investment advice. Things are changing and t's about time. I wrote this 3 years ago...Passive vs Active: What's the right investment strategy for you? The Stocktoberfest should be fun. Here's the website if you want to check it out ...http://www.stocktoberfest.co No trades … [Read more...]

[Trade Alert] Rio de Dinero

August 29, 2016 by Don Roth

EWZ, the ETF for Brazil, has run into and been rejected by resistance again. Price is up almost 100% from early this year. Time to sell it short. Brazilian Index Fund ETF (EWZ) weekly You can see from looking at the weekly chart that price sells off every time resistance (white downwards sloping line) is tagged. Risk is likely two up (green), weekly closes above resistance. I will advise. Trade Smart, Don Roth … [Read more...]

Another Tech Bubble? Probably Not

August 22, 2016 by Don Roth

Technology stocks have been ripping the last few months. Giddy up! Obviously, we are all doing things a bit different than just a few short years ago. We take pictures with our phone. We count our steps with a bracelet. We communicate via video...with our phone. And on and on. Current recommended portfolio has been overweight Tech. Continue to hold. QQQ is running into resistance; the high price print in March 2000, 120.50 (purple horizontal line on monthly price … [Read more...]

The Exit

August 14, 2016 by Don Roth

I received an excellent question this week from one of our subscribers... "Hi Don, Regarding XLE, you say to exit with multiple closes below the rising support trend line. Are you referring to the weekly chart? So am I correct that we should wait for 2 weekly closes below the trend line to exit?" Let me start off by saying buying and selling equities is not an exact science. There are no hard and fast rules. But, there are tendencies, consistencies and correlations. My research of the … [Read more...]

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RECENT MARKET UPDATES

  • Blow Off Top?
  • Major Announcement!
  • Trade Alert (BE)
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Don Roth

Don Roth, Smart Chart Investor

Recent Market Updates

  • Blow Off Top?
  • Major Announcement!
  • Trade Alert (BE)
  • Important Notice
  • Weekly Market Commentary and Pre Announcement

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