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Beyond Buy and Hold: Using Technical Analysis to Reduce the Risk of Long-term Investing

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Counter Trend Sellers are Waiting to Pounce

July 10, 2018 by Don Roth

SPY is popping higher right up in to resistance (see chart). It looks like they will take it up and let the games begin. S&P500 Index ETF (SPY) daily ​​​​​​​ The rest of the week will be very interesting as price gets up in to resistance where the sellers and short sellers live. This price zone is 280-281. HOLD. On another note we are expecting a granddaughter to be born later today. Exciting week! Trade Smart, Don … [Read more...]

Open Recommendations Review with Trade Alerts

July 8, 2018 by Don Roth

Two weeks ago I wrote that it was likely SPY would correct 2%-3% into support and if bid up I would recommend buying more. It did correct 2%. It was bid up exactly at support. I did recommend buying more. Don't you just love it when a plan comes together? So far, so good. SPY is up 2% from my Monday morning recommendation. Continue to hold all SPY positions from the past 7 years. SPDR's S&P 500 Trust Series ETF (SPY) daily Hold +2% ​​​Continue to hold all QQQ and XLK positions. T … [Read more...]

S&P 500 Index (SPY) Review and Trade Alert

July 1, 2018 by Don Roth

SPY has had three down weeks in a row but is still trading well above it's rising channel from the bottom in 2009. Any time price trades above it's long term rising channel it would be normal to correct back down and resume it's uptrend inside the channel where price would be in a more sustainable uptrend. Investors need time to adjust to higher prices. See weekly chart from 2009. SPDR's S&P 500 Trust Series ETF (SPY) weekly ​​​​​ A closer view from September 2017 reveals some posi … [Read more...]

Sellaphobia

July 1, 2018 by Don Roth

I hate selling. It feels like being wrong even when you are right. Who ever sells anyway? Someone must be selling. Damn I hate selling. I'm recommending exiting the following open positions. iShares Latin America 40 Index fund ETF (ILF) daily +15% ​​ This was about as perfect a trade as they come. Cover the short sell and collect 15% in five weeks. This chart is just beautiful. Selling is beautiful. SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) daily +3% Retail popped nicely after … [Read more...]

Dow Component and S&P 500 Sector Trend and Performance Analysis

June 25, 2018 by Don Roth

Analyzing the components of any index or ETF is important. Long term trend analysis and relative performance of each component can reveal the health of the overall index. It takes a long time to analyze every stock chart in the S&P 500 index. 85 hours to be exact. An easier way to accomplish this is to analyze each of the 30 Dow components and each of the S&P 500 Index sectors. The Dow and the S&P 500 index have a very high correlation despite the fact that the Dow is only 30 … [Read more...]

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Don Roth

Don Roth, Smart Chart Investor

Recent Market Updates

  • Blow Off Top?
  • Major Announcement!
  • Trade Alert (BE)
  • Important Notice
  • Weekly Market Commentary and Pre Announcement

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